Anthropic Models What AI Does To Jobs, Wages And Growth By 2030
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Anthropic Models What AI Does To Jobs, Wages And Growth By 2030
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Summary Report
Anthropic's model breaks jobs into tasks and produces modest, substantial and extreme 2030 scenarios; the extreme case pairs 15% annual growth with knowledge-worker unemployment near 18%.
- 01. Modest: GDP under 2% higher, unemployment barely moves; substantial: AI does half of knowledge work, growth doubles, knowledge-worker wages stall
- 02. Extreme: 15% annual growth and knowledge-worker unemployment near 18%; the average surveyed American guessed near substantial
Anthropic's Economics team has published an interactive model of AI's effect on the US economy by 2030, with three scenarios ranging from GDP under 2% higher to 15% annual growth with knowledge-worker unemployment near 18%, plus a survey of nearly 11,000 Americans.
